4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,030 sqft ·
Built 1935
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,916/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,307
Tax + insurance
−$664
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$822
Net cashflow
$123/mo
Annual
$1,471/yr
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.19%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$123,200
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $440k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $61/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $392k (11.0% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $392k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
South Colonie Central School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #215 of 590 in NY (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Shaker Road Elementary School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #447 of 2,108 statewide, top 24%, 348 students, 0% FRL); Sand Creek Middle School (math 49% / reading 49%, grade C-, #294 of 729 statewide, top 41%, 868 students, 46% FRL); Colonie Central High School (math 96% / reading 72%, grade A, #404 of 1,100 statewide, top 37%, 1,538 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $259k; list at $440k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.3% in Roessleville — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $3,916/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 530% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M91NXQA0K36CE6
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29