3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,705 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,128/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$384
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$447
Net cashflow
$39/mo
Annual
$470/yr
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.70%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$67,197
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($470/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (11.3% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $213k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#1,007 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Central Dauphin SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #305 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Chambers Hill El Sch (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,004 of 1,518 statewide, top 68%, 258 students, 100% FRL); Swatara Ms (math 13% / reading 34%, grade F, #424 of 512 statewide, top 83%, 539 students, 99% FRL); Central Dauphin East Shs (math 50% / reading 15%, grade F, #330 of 437 statewide, top 76%, 1,590 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 33% district-wide (66 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 178 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $70k; list at $240k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M92FWE22AJM7JM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29