66 bd · 36.0 ba ·
8,184 sqft ·
Built 1951
· MultiFamily
· Coming Soon
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax + insurance
−$509
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,995
Net cashflow
$5,056/mo
Annual
$60,671/yr
Cap rate
22.91%
Cash-on-cash
59.35%
DSCR
3.64
1% rule
2.57%
Cash to close
$103,572
Investor read
This is a 6 × 11-bed/6.0-bath units multifamily listed at $370k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($61k/yr) — positive. Per door: $843/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $370k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $364k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mckinley Stemm Academy (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,584 statewide, top 98%, 279 students, 0% FRL); Start High School (math 11% / reading 33%, grade F, #672 of 781 statewide, top 86%, 1,242 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $92k; list at $370k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $104k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 22.9% vs local median 7.7% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,500/mo this rent would consume 170% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 843% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29