2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,929 sqft ·
Built 2024
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,293/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,436
Tax + insurance
−$334
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$-749/mo
Annual
$-8,988/yr
Cap rate
3.01%
Cash-on-cash
-11.72%
DSCR
0.48
1% rule
0.47%
Cash to close
$76,692
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $274k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-749 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (48.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (52.8% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (52.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#43 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Colebrook School District (rural): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #144 of 171 in NH (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Colebrook Academy And Elementary School (E) (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #179 of 263 statewide, top 71%, 198 students, 35% FRL); Colebrook Academy And Elementary School (H) (math 30% / reading 70%, grade D+, #34 of 90 statewide, top 39%, 118 students, 22% FRL).
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 3.8% in Colebrook — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MA389979TKKKZ5
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29