4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,112 sqft ·
Built 1880
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 220 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,165/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$245
Net cashflow
$36/mo
Annual
$434/yr
Cap rate
7.14%
Cash-on-cash
3.02%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $36 ($434/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (10.4% below list).
It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#437 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Malone Central School District (town): math 27% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #581 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Saint Joseph'S Elementary School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,049 of 2,108 statewide, top 98%, 206 students, 45% FRL); Malone Middle School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #678 of 729 statewide, top 94%, 500 students, 52% FRL); Franklin Academy High School (math 82% / reading 70%, grade A-, #623 of 1,100 statewide, top 57%, 719 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $130k implies a 333% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29