2860 Seafarer Loop

Anchorage, AK 99516

$580,000D

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,480 sqft · Built 1986 · SingleFamily · Pending · 20 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $5,500/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,042
• Tax + insurance: −$876
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,155
• Net cashflow: $427/mo
• Annual: $5,125/yr
• Cap rate: 7.18%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.16%
• DSCR: 1.14
• 1% rule: 0.95%
• Cash to close: $162,400

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $580k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $427 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $550k (5.2% below list).
• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($571k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $550k (5.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Rabbit Creek Elementary (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B, #16 of 156 statewide, top 11%, 443 students, 16% FRL); Goldenview Middle School (math 46% / reading 58%, grade C+, #3 of 36 statewide, top 9%, 626 students, 16% FRL); South Anchorage High School (math 50% / reading 48%, grade D, #13 of 61 statewide, top 20%, 1,318 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools average 15% FRL vs 38% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Anchorage School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 6 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.