2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
963 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Other
· Active
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$863/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$71
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$181
Net cashflow
$112/mo
Annual
$1,349/yr
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.08%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (9.1% below list).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#218 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Cabool R-IV (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #275 of 324 in MO (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Texas County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.0% in Cabool — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MBXPG583E9MDKQ
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29