3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,208 sqft ·
Built 2002
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$534
HOA
−$258
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$840
Net cashflow
$401/mo
Annual
$4,812/yr
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.58%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $375k).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $352k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bushkill El Sch (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 366 students, 70% FRL); Lehman Intermediate Sch (math 11% / reading 44%, grade F, #399 of 512 statewide, top 79%, 603 students, 59% FRL); East Stroudsburg Shs North (math 29% / reading 24%, grade F, #371 of 437 statewide, top 85%, 940 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 42% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 375 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 32% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $210k; list at $375k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $105k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MC7XYW0ZE20E42
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29