2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,495 sqft ·
Built 1955
· Other
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,251/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$35
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$796/mo
Annual
$9,549/yr
Cap rate
38.12%
Cash-on-cash
113.67%
DSCR
6.06
1% rule
4.17%
Cash to close
$8,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $796 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#215 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Bolivar R-I (town): math 42% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #101 of 324 in MO (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bolivar Primary (589 students, 55% FRL); Bolivar High (math 42% / reading 63%, grade C-, #89 of 521 statewide, top 17%, 839 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 188 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 38.1% vs local median 3.0% in Bolivar — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MC98NCDN84R6BT
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29