1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
798 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Condo
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,992/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,197
Tax + insurance
−$490
HOA
−$506
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$838
Net cashflow
$-40/mo
Annual
$-477/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.41%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$117,320
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $419k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-477/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $412k (1.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $399k (4.7% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($413k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $399k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
New Canaan School District (suburban): math 81% / reading 86% proficiency, ranked #1 of 153 in CT (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: New Canaan High School (math 77% / reading 92%, grade A, #1 of 194 statewide, top 1%, 1,294 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 165 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $325k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 1.5% in New Canaan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MCGA1T2VAAZS2T
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29