3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Under Contract
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,128/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$447
Net cashflow
$597/mo
Annual
$7,168/yr
Cap rate
10.17%
Cash-on-cash
13.84%
DSCR
1.62
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#352 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Lincoln County (rural): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #71 of 174 in GA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lincoln County Elementary School (math 36% / reading 33%, grade F, #531 of 1,228 statewide, top 45%, 606 students, 57% FRL); Lincoln County High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 367 students, 48% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 35% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lincoln County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 42% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.6% in Lincolnton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: interior walls
— Peeling paint
Major: flooring
— Worn carpet
CashFlowRE · CFR-MCKYRB7R4TJ269
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29