2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,711 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Condo
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,337/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,886
Tax + insurance
−$456
HOA
−$2,883
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,331
Net cashflow
$-2,218/mo
Annual
$-26,619/yr
Cap rate
2.70%
Cash-on-cash
-12.83%
DSCR
0.43
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$207,480
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $741k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-27k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $349k (52.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $634k (14.5% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($719k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $349k (52.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 226 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.7% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $6,337/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 5508% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29