3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1860
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,625/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$317
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$551
Net cashflow
$761/mo
Annual
$9,128/yr
Cap rate
11.10%
Cash-on-cash
17.16%
DSCR
1.76
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $190k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $761 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,067 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, schools F.
Bristol Local (rural): math 61% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #210 of 656 in OH (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior paint
— Slight fading
Minor: interior paint
— Slight fading
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29