4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,225 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 282 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,186/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$523/mo
Annual
$6,272/yr
Cap rate
16.76%
Cash-on-cash
37.40%
DSCR
2.66
1% rule
1.98%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $523 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.7%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#190 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Marion County (rural): math 20% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #56 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 3.0% in Hamilton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exposed subfloor in kitchen and bathrooms
— Structural damage
Major: Missing countertops and cabinets in kitchen
— Aesthetic and functional issues
Major: Missing fixtures in bathrooms
— Aesthetic and functional issues
Major: Missing tiles in bathrooms and kitchen
— Aesthetic and functional issues
Major: Missing paint on interior walls
— Aesthetic and functional issues
Major: Overgrown grass and lack of landscaping
— Reduces curb appeal
CashFlowRE · CFR-MDJ6330S8JYEFP
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29