6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,070 sqft ·
Built 1914
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 209 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,794/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,334
Tax + insurance
−$357
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,217
Net cashflow
$1,887/mo
Annual
$22,639/yr
Cap rate
11.38%
Cash-on-cash
18.17%
DSCR
1.81
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$124,600
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $445k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $629/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $445k).
It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($392k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $392k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $445k implies a 1680% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $125k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,794/mo this rent would consume 111% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 618% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-MEAYZG3F0911F2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29