1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
650 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Condo
· Active
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,021/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$246
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$641
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$424
Net cashflow
$631/mo
Annual
$7,568/yr
Cap rate
22.39%
Cash-on-cash
57.50%
DSCR
3.56
1% rule
4.30%
Cash to close
$13,160
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $47k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $47k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#588 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
East Ramapo Central School District (Spring Valley) (suburban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #576 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Margetts Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,786 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 609 students, 68% FRL); Pomona Middle School (math 6% / reading 19%, grade F, #713 of 729 statewide, top 98%, 574 students, 81% FRL); Spring Valley High School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade B+, #677 of 1,100 statewide, top 63%, 1,434 students, 82% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: 259 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 2.2% in Spring Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered appearance
Minor: Paint
— Slight discoloration
CashFlowRE · CFR-MEZ6WF4AF88HZ8
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29