3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,046 sqft ·
Built 1850
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$21,104/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,267
Tax + insurance
−$947
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,432
Net cashflow
$9,458/mo
Annual
$113,494/yr
Cap rate
15.79%
Cash-on-cash
33.92%
DSCR
2.51
1% rule
1.77%
Cash to close
$334,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $1.20M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($113k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($21k rent vs $1.20M).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.12M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.12M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#105 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Regional School District 12 (rural): math 64% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 153 in CT (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 154 units permitted in Northwest Hills Planning Region in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $900k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $335k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$68k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 4.0% in New Preston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MFYCXQ9GCXV7RY
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29