4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,080 sqft ·
Built 1917
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,249/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$193/mo
Annual
$2,314/yr
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.19%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$32,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#691 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Tolono CUSD 7 (rural): math 35% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #164 of 620 in IL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Unity Jr High School (math 32% / reading 38%, grade F, #191 of 665 statewide, top 30%, 346 students, 0% FRL); Unity High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #62 of 693 statewide, top 10%, 528 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 573 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (359 in 5+ unit buildings).
Champaign County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MG5Q4QA5RDDERC
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29