4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,571 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,341/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$109
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$282
Net cashflow
$478/mo
Annual
$5,735/yr
Cap rate
12.66%
Cash-on-cash
22.76%
DSCR
2.01
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#255 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Claiborne Parish (rural): math 13% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #77 of 98 in LA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Claiborne Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Claiborne County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MGJMDE1WM2Z5PN
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29