3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,472 sqft ·
Built 1926
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,338/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$558
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$491
Net cashflow
$-231/mo
Annual
$-2,771/yr
Cap rate
5.34%
Cash-on-cash
-3.41%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-231 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (14.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (19.4% below list).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $234k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
Windsor School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #107 of 153 in CT (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $155k; list at $290k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MH4JQ6CMEM9F1R
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29