2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,210 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Condo
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,630/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$247
HOA
−$336
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$552
Net cashflow
$-78/mo
Annual
$-942/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.12%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-78 ($-942/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $286k (4.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (12.3% below list).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $263k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#186 in FL, #2,923 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.6% in Kendale Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MHHBHTEDZBC773
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29