1749 Blacksgate East Rd

Prosperity, SC 29127

$179,000C

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Built 2001 · Manufactured · Pending · 35 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,882/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$939
• Tax + insurance: −$116
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$395
• Net cashflow: $432/mo
• Annual: $5,189/yr
• Cap rate: 9.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.35%
• DSCR: 1.46
• 1% rule: 1.05%
• Cash to close: $50,120

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
• It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $174k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#48 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Newberry 01 (rural): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #40 of 80 in SC (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Mid-Carolina High (math 67% / reading 89%, grade A-, #27 of 196 statewide, top 13%, 723 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 78% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+42 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Newberry 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Newberry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Newberry County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.