3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1936
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 141 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$970/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$340
Tax + insurance
−$201
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$225/mo
Annual
$2,703/yr
Cap rate
10.46%
Cash-on-cash
14.87%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$18,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($970 rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $693 appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, crime F.
Ogdensburg City School District (town): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #531 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $65k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.3% in Ogdensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MHXBAVFKZX6KGC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29