3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,823 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,059/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$155
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$-0/mo
Annual
$-5/yr
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
-0.01%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($-5/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (0.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (18.5% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#166 in IA, #3,002 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
Keokuk Community School District (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #282 of 289 in IA (top 98%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Hawthorne Elementary School (math 62% / reading 37%, grade D, #514 of 616 statewide, top 85%, 464 students, 68% FRL); Keokuk Middle School (math 45% / reading 48%, grade D+, #230 of 246 statewide, top 93%, 377 students, 60% FRL); Keokuk High School (math 48% / reading 63%, grade C, #287 of 336 statewide, top 86%, 598 students, 53% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 8.2% in Keokuk — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MHXPZVEBAH3SZ2
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29