3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
4,650 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,001/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,958
Tax + insurance
−$1,258
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$-3,635/mo
Annual
$-43,624/yr
Cap rate
0.51%
Cash-on-cash
-20.64%
DSCR
0.08
1% rule
0.27%
Cash to close
$211,327
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4k ($-44k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#136 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Oldham County (suburban): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #6 of 165 in KY (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: property tax is 1132109.2% of price.
Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 402 units permitted in Oldham County in 2024 (56 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oldham County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 0.5% vs local median 1.8% in Crestwood — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MJ30QV9DCZK18C
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29