None bd · None ba ·
4,006 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Townhouse
· Active
· 933 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,111/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,555
Tax + insurance
−$1,213
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$-6,891/mo
Annual
$-82,688/yr
Cap rate
-0.32%
Cash-on-cash
-23.63%
DSCR
-0.05
1% rule
0.09%
Cash to close
$350,000
Investor read
This is a townhouse listed at $1.25M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7k ($-83k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (89.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (91.1% below list).
It's been on market 933 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.10M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (91.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $38k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 417 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $150k; list at $1.25M implies a 733% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate -0.3% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 933 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 91% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MJ623G559ZR2S3
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29