2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 162 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$849/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$60
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$87/mo
Annual
$1,046/yr
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.74%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (15.1% below list).
It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#284 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Ringling (rural): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #447 of 513 in OK (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ringling Es (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 209 students, 0% FRL); Ringling Hs (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #76 of 447 statewide, top 20%, 96 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 66% district-wide (66 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP.
Jefferson County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MJT4V0F00480MS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29