3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
948 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$997/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$-36/mo
Annual
$-438/yr
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.30%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-438/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (5.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (16.9% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#220 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Archer City ISD (rural): math 56% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #79 of 826 in TX (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Archer City El (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 287 students, 54% FRL); Archer City H S (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 206 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 34% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Archer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Archer County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (7.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MK2NJ23RZZGVM8
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29