4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,241 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,498/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,015
Tax + insurance
−$716
HOA
−$20
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$735
Net cashflow
$-988/mo
Annual
$-11,855/yr
Cap rate
4.23%
Cash-on-cash
-7.36%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$161,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $575k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-988 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $400k (30.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (39.2% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($566k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $350k (39.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#25 in MI, #516 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
Northville Public Schools (suburban): math 68% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #4 of 540 in MI (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 4% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $245k; list at $575k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.1% in Plymouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MK3N652HMJ282N
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29