3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,305 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Other
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,065/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$96
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$37/mo
Annual
$444/yr
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.17%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($444/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (21.1% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#489 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
Morgan County R-II (rural): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #240 of 324 in MO (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morgan County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MKG268DDTC86B1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29