2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,896 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,684/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$159
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$564
Net cashflow
$992/mo
Annual
$11,898/yr
Cap rate
12.72%
Cash-on-cash
22.97%
DSCR
2.02
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $992 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $174k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Everett School District (urban): math 60% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #26 of 291 in WA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.2%/yr); 275 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $185k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 2.5% in Everett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MKWD208R07QJT0
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29