3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,140 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Manufactured
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,897/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$398
Net cashflow
$-2/mo
Annual
$-25/yr
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.04%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-25/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (0.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (21.0% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $190k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#851 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $18k; list at $240k implies a 1197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MKWHGX8K70XF8Z
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29