2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,236 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,047/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$119
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$53/mo
Annual
$633/yr
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.81%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($633/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (16.2% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#313 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Fillmore Central Public Schools (rural): math 56% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #41 of 111 in NE (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Fillmore Central Elementary (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #136 of 502 statewide, top 31%, 271 students, 27% FRL); Fillmore Central Middle School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C+, #43 of 128 statewide, top 36%, 160 students, 43% FRL); Fillmore Central High School (math 64% / reading 54%, grade C+, #49 of 261 statewide, top 26%, 178 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Fillmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fillmore County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $54k; list at $125k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MKZX6G8XF78Y6H
· Data 11 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29