3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,394 sqft ·
Built 1894
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,756/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$369
Net cashflow
$18/mo
Annual
$214/yr
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.36%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($214/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (18.3% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $176k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#675 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Jim Thorpe Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #394 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.2% in Jim Thorpe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MM66PF2777GS03
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29