3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,209 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,244/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$175
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$-26/mo
Annual
$-309/yr
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.69%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-309/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (2.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (21.8% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $124k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#253 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Wynnewood (rural): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #198 of 270 in OK (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Central Es (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 277 students, 0% FRL); Wynnewood Hs (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 210 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Garvin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Garvin County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $34k; list at $159k implies a 361% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MMA23597DF1VXY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29