3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,651 sqft ·
Built 2006
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 113 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,008/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,673
Tax + insurance
−$366
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$422
Net cashflow
$-453/mo
Annual
$-5,432/yr
Cap rate
4.59%
Cash-on-cash
-6.08%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$89,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $319k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-453 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (25.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (37.1% below list).
It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $201k (37.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#60 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sara M. Ragsdale Elementary (math 37% / reading 36%, grade F, #509 of 1,228 statewide, top 42%, 604 students, 56% FRL); Carl Scoggins Sr. Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #196 of 470 statewide, top 42%, 760 students, 47% FRL); South Paulding High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #175 of 424 statewide, top 42%, 1,911 students, 36% FRL).
Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MMGCKCEVMBXFE6
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29