2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,028 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$956/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$201
Net cashflow
$190/mo
Annual
$2,278/yr
Cap rate
8.85%
Cash-on-cash
9.14%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($956 rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#801 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
Carmi-White County CUSD 5 (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #264 of 620 in IL (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Jefferson Attendance Center (math 52% / reading 37%, grade F, #267 of 2,056 statewide, top 15%, 194 students, 0% FRL); Washington Attendance Center (math 22% / reading 35%, grade F, #277 of 665 statewide, top 42%, 252 students, 0% FRL); Carmi-White County High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 401 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 45% district-wide (45 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.
White County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MNGZQ8EFH3RNDC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29