3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,374 sqft ·
Built 1922
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,147/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$214
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$451
Net cashflow
$302/mo
Annual
$3,618/yr
Cap rate
7.90%
Cash-on-cash
5.74%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (4.6% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $215k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#352 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Lincoln County (rural): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #71 of 174 in GA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lincoln County Elementary School (math 36% / reading 33%, grade F, #531 of 1,228 statewide, top 45%, 606 students, 57% FRL); Lincoln County Middle School (math 40% / reading 45%, grade D-, #122 of 470 statewide, top 26%, 258 students, 57% FRL); Lincoln County High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 367 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.6% in Lincolnton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MNP5FA6KYXQJRV
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29