5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,511 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 710 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,164/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,068
Tax + insurance
−$975
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,295
Net cashflow
$827/mo
Annual
$9,926/yr
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.06%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$163,800
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $585k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $827 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $585k).
It's been on market 710 days — a 12% lower offer ($515k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $515k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $110k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $192k; list at $585k implies a 205% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $6,164/mo this rent would consume 119% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 2663% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 710 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MNW4C5FPJK9YGF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29