2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,532 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Condo
· Active
· 149 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,592/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$802
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$266
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$334
Net cashflow
$-65/mo
Annual
$-779/yr
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.82%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$42,812
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $153k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-779/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (6.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#315 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
L'Anse Creuse Public Schools (suburban): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #184 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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