2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Manufactured
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,436/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$722
Net cashflow
$2,265/mo
Annual
$27,181/yr
Cap rate
48.11%
Cash-on-cash
149.34%
DSCR
7.64
1% rule
5.29%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#306 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A-, schools B+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
Huntington Beach Union High (suburban): math 65% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #39 of 517 in CA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $28k; list at $65k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 48.1% vs local median 1.6% in Huntington Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($130k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MPBRAZDHZH51FR
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29