3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,648/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,415
Tax + insurance
−$357
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$-471/mo
Annual
$-5,647/yr
Cap rate
4.20%
Cash-on-cash
-7.47%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$75,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-471 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $187k (30.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (38.9% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (38.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#11 in MN, #386 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: amenities F.
Sartell-St. Stephen School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #18 of 301 in MN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 661 units permitted in Stearns County in 2024 (291 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stearns County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.9% in Sartell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MPCNSFA9DYMTSF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29