4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,584 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 82 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,939/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$407
Net cashflow
$759/mo
Annual
$9,112/yr
Cap rate
13.31%
Cash-on-cash
25.05%
DSCR
2.11
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $759 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $380/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $106k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,939/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 16% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MPSHKD2V0KAF1X
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29