14857 Hartsook St

Los Angeles, CA 91403

$1,725,000C

10 bd · 10.0 ba · 5,958 sqft · Built 1960 · MultiFamily · Active · 206 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $15,652/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$9,046
• Tax + insurance: −$2,009
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$3,287
• Net cashflow: $1,310/mo
• Annual: $15,716/yr
• Cap rate: 7.20%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.25%
• DSCR: 1.14
• 1% rule: 0.91%
• Cash to close: $483,000

Investor read

• This is a 6 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.73M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $218/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.57M (9.3% below list).
• It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.52M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $1.52M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $35k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
• Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $660k; list at $1.73M implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $483k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$124k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $15,652/mo this rent would consume 162% of the median local household income ($116k/yr) (locally 1750% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?