3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,208 sqft ·
Built 1942
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,115/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,301
Tax + insurance
−$395
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$444
Net cashflow
$-24/mo
Annual
$-290/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.42%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$69,440
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $248k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-290/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (1.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (14.7% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $212k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#153 in MI, #3,827 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Rockford Public Schools (suburban): math 59% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #28 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 271 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
25 sale attempts since 35y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $52k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $165k; list at $248k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.0% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MQJMGB00VR5QM4
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29