9 bd · 6.9 ba ·
3,345 sqft ·
Built 1880
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 177 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$19,718/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,387
Tax + insurance
−$1,490
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,141
Net cashflow
$4,700/mo
Annual
$56,400/yr
Cap rate
9.44%
Cash-on-cash
11.25%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$501,200
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/2.3-bath units multifamily listed at $1.79M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($56k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($20k rent vs $1.79M).
It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.58M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.58M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $113k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $101k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $501k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$181k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $19,718/mo this rent would consume 195% of the median local household income ($121k/yr) (locally 3440% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29