2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Manufactured
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,401/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$749
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$13/mo
Annual
$155/yr
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.11%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
2.81%
Cash to close
$13,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($155/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Fullerton Magnet Center (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #319 of 502 statewide, top 68%, 458 students, 0% FRL); Alice Buffett Magnet Middle School (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #80 of 128 statewide, top 63%, 1,124 students, 0% FRL); Burke High School (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #226 of 261 statewide, top 87%, 1,915 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 24% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Omaha Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 53% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29