3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,256 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,344
Tax + insurance
−$427
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$588
Net cashflow
$441/mo
Annual
$5,296/yr
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.38%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$71,743
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $10k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $10k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#258 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Carter County (suburban): math 16% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #119 of 139 in TN (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Unaka Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #863 of 952 statewide, top 92%, 210 students, 0% FRL); Happy Valley Middle School (math 17% / reading 19%, grade F, #211 of 333 statewide, top 64%, 369 students, 0% FRL); Unaka High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #163 of 332 statewide, top 51%, 315 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 38.4% of price.
Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 184 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carter County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.1% in Hunter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MR3K243N6QEJF6
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29