3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,036 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$942/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$104
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$198
Net cashflow
$-15/mo
Annual
$-181/yr
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.52%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-181/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (2.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (24.6% below list).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#80 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, amenities F.
Grenada School District (town): math 53% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #19 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Grenada County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grenada County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MR8BCEC0FJZHEH
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29