12 bd · 20.0 ba ·
6,352 sqft ·
Built 1947
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,085/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,714
Tax + insurance
−$1,498
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,748
Net cashflow
$4,124/mo
Annual
$49,492/yr
Cap rate
11.80%
Cash-on-cash
19.66%
DSCR
1.87
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$251,720
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $899k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($49k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $899k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($818k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $818k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#542 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
John Swett Unified (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #899 of 1,400 in CA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rodeo Hills Elementary (571 students, 78% FRL); Carquinez Middle (254 students, 80% FRL); John Swett High (380 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 55% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 2,169 units permitted in Contra Costa County in 2024 (896 in 5+ unit buildings).
Contra Costa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Cabinets show signs of wear but are still functional.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Fixtures show signs of wear but are still functional.
Moderate: Exterior paint
— Paint appears weathered and may need repainting.
Moderate: HVAC units
— Units may need maintenance or replacement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MRN3K3763KGZJ0
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29